Probability or Natural Enemy… the final ticket to the semi-finals

Ulsan Hyundai Mobis and Goyang Carrot’s professional basketball semifinal playoff went to the final game.

4th place Hyundai Mobis took the 1st and 3rd games, and 5th place Carrot won the 4th game on the 8th following the 2nd game. With 2 wins and 2 losses, the owner of the ticket to the semifinals had to be covered in the 5th game in Ulsan on the 10th.

In the odds fight, Hyundai Mobis had the upper hand, but Carot, who had been overwhelmed in the regular league opponents, caught up without being pushed back.

Hyundai Mobis, 4th in the regular league, recorded 34 wins and 20 losses, leading Carrot (28 wins and 26 losses) in 5th place by a whopping 6 wins. In terms of season performance, Hyundai Mobis was greatly ahead, but their opponents were opposite. In this season’s face-to-face confrontation with Hyundai Mobis, Carrot won all five rounds, and won for the first time in the sixth round, overwhelming him with 5 wins and 1 loss.

In the playoff stage of the 6th round, Hyundai Mobis preoccupied the ‘probability’. 바카라

It was a 94% chance that the winning team in the first round of the six-final playoffs reached the semifinals 47 times out of 50 times. Hyundai Mobis won the 2nd game, but the 3rd game was also won. It was a 70% chance, 7 out of 10 times, that the team that won 2 wins (1 loss) first by winning the 3rd game in the 6th round playoffs reached the semifinals. It is also only a 30% chance that the top team was caught by the bottom team and failed to make it to the semifinals in 15 out of 50 times.

Looking at the probability, it is ‘normal’ for Hyundai Mobis to reach the semifinals, but Carrot turned the match to the starting point with his opponent’s record and momentum. They are tight enough to exchange 1 win and 1 loss at home.

Hyundai Mobis, who has a strong base of goal, took the 1st and 3rd games by overpowering rebounds and quick attacks. In the 2nd game, he gave up the fight under the goal evenly, and in the 4th game, he gave up momentum by being pushed back from the rebound.

Carrot is the team with the most average 3-pointers (11.5) in a season. However, the first and third games, which Hyundai Mobis won, all had a large score difference of more than 10 points. This is because the outskirts, which is Carrot’s specialty, are completely blocked. In the first and third games, Carrot was completely defeated as he was pushed behind the goal and even his 3-point shot success rate fell below 15%. However, he won by making 13 three-pointers in the second game and 14 three-pointers in the fourth game.

Carrot put 3-point shooter Jeon Seong-hyeon, who had finished the regular season early due to an injury, as a ‘joker’ in the 4th game to win and boosted his momentum ahead of the 5th game. Jeon Seong-hyun played for 15 minutes and scored three decisive 3-pointers. Even in the regular league, Jeon Seong-hyun scored an average of 4.0 3-pointers against Hyundai Mobis. There was no Jeon Seong-hyun in the 6th round, when Hyundai Mobis was the only one to catch a carrot in the regular league. Hyundai Mobis, who allowed Game 5 despite having an advantage in odds, had to carefully prepare a strategy for the outskirts of Carrot, where Jeon Seong-hyun might jump in. Whether or not Ham Ji-hoon, a veteran big man who took a break from the 3rd and 4th games due to back pain, will also be a key factor.

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